Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.011494 0.013997 0.017168 0.021588 0.027773 0.036423 0.050050
2024-11-03 0.008940 0.011925 0.016268 0.023444 0.035937 0.059103 0.113281
2024-11-10 0.007642 0.010823 0.015908 0.025436 0.045271 0.093225 0.271631
2024-11-17 0.006500 0.009565 0.014780 0.025446 0.050859 0.127931 0.604902
2024-11-24 0.005632 0.008526 0.013684 0.024982 0.055098 0.167831 1.477794
2024-12-01 0.004816 0.007412 0.012169 0.023035 0.054158 0.189175 3.048816
2024-12-08 0.004250 0.006644 0.011147 0.021858 0.054833 0.222709 9.328910
2024-12-15 0.003891 0.006190 0.010648 0.021768 0.059158 0.295063 203.735529
2024-12-22 0.003651 0.005920 0.010466 0.022423 0.067009 0.441109 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003406 0.005605 0.010126 0.022542 0.073083 0.633337 NaN
2025-01-05 0.003120 0.005177 0.009467 0.021540 0.073291 0.762720 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002924 0.004905 0.009118 0.021375 0.077868 1.083664 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002810 0.004813 0.009228 0.022925 0.096143 2.880708 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002718 0.004754 0.009419 0.024942 0.123787 16.823992 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002633 0.004699 0.009609 0.027117 0.161896 78237.519275 NaN
2025-02-09 0.002476 0.004464 0.009283 0.027128 0.180672 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002319 0.004214 0.008873 0.026621 0.193367 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002128 0.003869 0.008152 0.024497 0.178922 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001982 0.003613 0.007648 0.023215 0.175469 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001885 0.003463 0.007420 0.023117 0.191571 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001821 0.003379 0.007365 0.023830 0.227377 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001746 0.003264 0.007203 0.023959 0.255297 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.001646 0.003084 0.006827 0.022869 0.250862 NaN NaN